The great journalist Martin Plaut, who keeps himself strictly within the perimeters of professional ethics, twitted a couple of days ago: "The next few weeks will show who miscalculated. Difficult for 6% of the population of Ethiopia to face the Federal army, the Amhara militia, and the Eritrean military all at the same time. Clearly the Tigrayans have lost cities. Now we will see if they have lost the war". This is a great incite based on a full understanding of the timeless ethos of freedom inherent in the Tigrayan culture. We don't need to wait for weeks to realize that starting the war was a grave miscalculation. It was based on the wrong perception of the invincibility of a joint force of Ethiopia, Eritrea, and a hate blinded Amhara militia misguided by false sense of bravery and mischief of its elite, against "a poor tiny region which is dependent on Ethiopia for its survival". Three days were "generously" alloted to start and end the war. How much time the war takes is not decided by both sides but only by the side which started the war. There has never been war in history whoes end is decided by those who started it. Neither Hitler nor Mengistu were able to end the wars they started. They were able only to start them by "counting their chicks before they are hatched". As Commander Seye Abrha once said, "We know war and thus we fear it". Why is war feared? Because how it ends is not predictable! When crazy megalomaniacs trigger war on other people, who jealously guard their freedom and the right to self-determination, they would be pressing a button triggering a chain reaction that they cannot control. The loss of lives and the destruction of property emboldens rather than weakens those who defend their freedom. In such war’s nations rise from the ashes more powerful than before. They are like steel which acquires its greater strength and resilience from more and more burning. Vietnam not USA and France decided the end of the wars. Carpet bombing and agent orange never forced the tiny but gallant Vietnamese to surrender. They fought in the rice paddies, they fought in the underground tunnels, they fought in the forests and weakened the "elephants" into collapse. What did the Vietnamese have in their hands? Little more than AK-47 rifles, but missiles in their hearts!
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