Today Chatham House, London is hosting Ethiopian government representatives, a shameful decision that it will surely regret

Dear International Community,

I wonder how much longer it will take you to realise that appeasing a tyrannical regime will not bring peace to Ethiopia. If you replaced the name “Abiy Ahmed” with “Adolf Hitler” it would make the folly of your current position obvious. Abiy – and dictator Isaias Afwerki and Amhara expansionists - hate Tigrayans in the way that the Nazis hated the Jews. Many of you, including Chatham House, are choosing a policy of appeasement of a regime that has, with its allies, almost totally destroyed Tigray and continues to slaughter its people in Tigray and across Ethiopia, by any means possible. And it is now re-arming and threatening more of the same in future. A well-documented vicious military campaign, which has targeted civilians from the very first day and included the use of banned weapons, has been deployed for exactly nine months but much of the world has barely reacted. BBC domestic radio and TV has ignored the conflict, covering it briefly only a few times since it began in November last year. Why?

“If you are neutral you are siding with the oppressors.”

South African Archbishop Thabo Makgabo, at the 24-hour lobby for Tigray

It is not fanciful to compare the current government in Tigray to that of Nazi Germany. As Gebrekirstos Gebreselassie has written for Ethiopia Insight : “In recent decades, Tigrayans were likened to the Jews of Germany and calls for “Ethiopians” to take lessons from “Nazi Germany’s heroic extermination techniques” have been made. Of special relevance here were Eskinder Nega’s now defunct newspaper, Asqual , and ESAT, a 10-year-old Amhara diaspora satellite television channel, partly funded by Eritrea’s Isaias Afwerki. (“exterminate the Jew”) which ran for more than a year, urged Ethiopians to do what Nazi Germany did to their troublesome minority, the Jews. ¹ ESAT is operated by Amhara supremacists who were overthrown in 1991, many of whom had spent the last 30 years abroad, resenting every day that they were not in power in Ethiopia. They are now determined to reclaim the position of dominance to which they feel entitled. Their mentor is Emperor Menelik, the expansionist king who reigned over a hundred years ago. Over the years, while operating from the USA, this TV station regularly and openly called for the annihilation of all Tigrayans - “there are only 5 million of them, we can easily wipe them out” -  station head Neamin Zeleke said. (Does the US not have laws against incitement to violence and murder?) ESAT staff and other Amhara supremacists now openly incite violence against Tigrayans and other ethnic groups, but this time on home territory, which is much more dangerous. Ethiopia has laws against hate speech, but they are unlikely to be applied under the current regime. Prime Minister Abiy personally welcomed ESAT TV to Ethiopia, recognising in its staff a visceral hatred for Tigrayans that matches his own and that of Isaias Afwerki, the paranoid dictator who has ruled Eritrea with utter ruthlessness since its independence in 1993 and who helped fund the nascent ESAT. This tripartite alliance has proven catastrophic for all concerned. Not just Tigrayans, though they have suffered most, but other ethnic groups, but also young Ethiopian soldiers who were sent into a futile and unnecessary war and have died in their tens of thousands. More are being recruited and trained right now.

“Ethiopia is the only state in the world where the Ministry of Peace is calling for war and the Disaster Risk Management Commission is endorsing a blockade of humanitarian aid.”

Emnet Negash on Twitter

As reported by the UK Guardian newspaper back in May, the G7 went out of their way to appease the Ethiopian regime at a meeting that month. The G7 seem still to think that there is no alternative to an Abiy Ahmed-led government, taken in perhaps by Mr Ahmed’s apparent charm, not fully recognising how adept he is at subterfuge. The Nobel Peace Prize committee members were similarly duped. The war on Tigray has trashed their reputation along with that of the Ethiopian PM. The Prize now seems to convey to recipients that it is a licence to kill. Yet PM Abiy has influential allies around the world. In the UK, the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) published an article by an apologist for the Abiy regime, which did little more than repeat Ethiopian government propaganda.

Today (5 ^th Aug), Chatham House is hosting Ethiopian government representatives, a shameful decision that it will surely regret. The establishment is not ready to let go of their man just yet. Is this perhaps because the Prosperity Party won a deeply flawed election, run after years of anti-Tigrayan propaganda from PM Abiy, surely a travesty of democracy?

Their apparent view that there is no alternative to the current regime is deeply misguided. You the international community should have more faith in the Ethiopian people who are perfectly capable of choosing a leader and a system of governance that satisfies their needs. But with many of political leaders in prison and some regions excluded, there was little likelihood of a fair outcome to the recent election. The EU did not send election observer missions, once again taking principled action, as it has done right from the start of this war, warning the Ethiopian government on 2 ^nd November that an attack on Tigray would be catastrophic. The US has, under Joe Biden, also taken principled action. Other international bodies, and the G7 in particular, should follow their lead. Goitom Gebreluel, Managing Director of Hatèta Policy Research writes, “Ethnic federalism in Ethiopia enjoys wide support.. Secondly, the use of foreign mercenaries in domestic conflicts must be deterred. In particular, verification mechanisms must be established to ensure the withdrawal of Eritrean troops from conflicts across the region. And finally, perpetrators of serious violations of international humanitarian law must be held accountable in order to pave the way for a reconciliation process but also to deter others from engaging in such acts .” ² reported, “Abiy has shown a desire to demolish the current federal structure and abolish the current constitution of the country. But unity can only be ensured and maintained through the consensus of the regions and nations – not by forced and narrowly defined assimilation. This coercive approach led to many civil wars in the past, and it is doomed to failure now, especially since the rationale for the unrest that led to Abiy’s emergence was more about the effective implementation of the federal system and not its dissolution .” What most Ethiopians want is peace and the respect of their culture, the ability to speak their own languages – in other words, unity in diversity, which was the linchpin of the polity until Abiy Ahmed took over. Preaching ‘unity’, Ahmed has nevertheless scapegoated the Tigrayans and deliberately set ethnic groups against each other as never before, with a divide-and-rule policy that has consolidated his takeover with the Prosperity Party, a huge misnomer as Ethiopia’s economy has tanked under his watch with ratings agencies downgrading it.